A poll released Thursday shows Colorado’s U.S. Senate race at its narrowest point to date with four weeks before ballots are mailed.
Democratic challenger John Hickenlooper leads Republican Sen. Cory Gardner by a five-point margin, 51% to 46%, in the telephone survey of 800 likely voters conducted by bipartisan polling firms of Fabrizio Ward and Hart Research between Aug. 30 and Sept. 5. The poll was paid for by AARP and has a 3.6% margin of error.
It is the first survey to show Gardner within five points of Hickenlooper and the fourth recent poll to show the race within single digits. A Sept. 3 poll showed Hickenlooper leading by nine points, as did an Aug. 25 poll. A July survey showed the former governor leading by six points over the Republican senator from Yuma.
On Thursday, AARP also released results from a separate survey, known as an “oversample,” of voters 50 years or older. Among that group of 749 Coloradans, Gardner is leading 49% to 47%, which is within the 3.6% margin of error.
“One thing we know is that virtually all older voters plan to vote this year,” said Nancy LeaMond, AARP’s executive vice president and the group’s chief advocacy and engagement officer. “They want to vote, they want their voices heard, and they’re going to find a way to do that that’s safe.”
The new poll shows Gardner outperforming President Donald Trump in Colorado. Trump trails Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, 50% to 40% in the state, according to the AARP survey. Among older voters, Biden leads Trump 48% to 46%.
AARP’s poll release comes on the same day that both Gardner and Hickenlooper released new television ads. Gardner’s is an attack ad, criticizing Hickenlooper for ethics violations and at times exaggerating the extent of those violations. Hickenlooper used his latest ad to tout his work on the environment and advocate for an end to tax breaks for large oil companies.